On even 4:00 pace at 30K, only 13% got under 4:00.
Finishes passing 30K in 2:50–2:52, every course.
On even 4:00 pace at 30K
Under 4:00Not under
- Even pace at 30K
- 2:50:38
- Median finish
- 4:07:57
About half made 4:00 from four minutes ahead of pace at 30K.
All numbers14 rows
Finishes under 4:00, by split at 30K
| At 30K | Under 4:00 | Median finish |
|---|---|---|
| 2:28–2:30 | 99% | 3:34:16 |
| 2:30–2:32 | 98% | 3:38:10 |
| 2:32–2:34 | 97% | 3:41:16 |
| 2:34–2:36 | 95% | 3:43:59 |
| 2:36–2:38 | 93% | 3:46:47 |
| 2:38–2:40 | 90% | 3:49:26 |
| 2:40–2:42 | 83% | 3:52:28 |
| 2:42–2:44 | 75% | 3:55:09 |
| 2:44–2:46 | 63% | 3:57:52 |
| 2:46–2:48 | 48% | 4:00:16 |
| 2:48–2:50 | 32% | 4:03:44 |
| 2:50–2:52 | 13% | 4:07:57 |
| 2:52–2:54 | 4% | 4:11:49 |
| 2:54–2:56 | 1% | 4:14:56 |
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