4:30 marathon pace

The even-pace splits for a 4:30 marathon, beside what finishes just under 4:30 actually ran.

Even pace for 4:30

10:18per mile · 6:24/km · halfway 2:15:00

  1. 5K3.1 mi32:00
  2. 10K6.2 mi1:03:59
  3. 15K9.3 mi1:35:59
  4. 20K12.4 mi2:07:59
  5. 25K15.5 mi2:39:58
  6. 30K18.6 mi3:11:58
  7. 35K21.7 mi3:43:58
  8. 40K24.9 mi4:15:57
  9. Finish26.2 mi4:30:00

Print these as a pace band

Pace Notes data

Finishes near 4:30 stay close to the smooth curve: the minute before it holds 1.1× the curve.

Finishes just under 4:30 didn’t run even: 38% had a sustained slowdown.

All numbers3 tables

Elapsed time at an even pace for a 4:30 marathon, every mile, with the 5 km mats and halfway

SplitElapsed
1 mi10:18
2 mi20:36
3 mi30:54
5K mat32:00
4 mi41:12
5 mi51:29
6 mi1:01:47
10K mat1:03:59
7 mi1:12:05
8 mi1:22:23
9 mi1:32:41
15K mat1:35:59
10 mi1:42:59
11 mi1:53:17
12 mi2:03:35
20K mat2:07:59
13 mi2:13:52
Halfway2:15:00
14 mi2:24:10
15 mi2:34:28
25K mat2:39:58
16 mi2:44:46
17 mi2:55:04
18 mi3:05:22
30K mat3:11:58
19 mi3:15:40
20 mi3:25:58
21 mi3:36:15
35K mat3:43:58
22 mi3:46:33
23 mi3:56:51
24 mi4:07:09
40K mat4:15:57
25 mi4:17:27
26 mi4:27:45
Finish4:30:00

Elapsed time at each mat: even pace for 4:30, and the median of 141,155 finishes from 4:25:00 to 4:29:59, of those with no sustained slowdown and of those with one

MatEven paceMedianNo sustained slowdownSustained slowdown
5K32:0029:4330:3528:09
10K1:03:5959:181:01:0356:09
15K1:35:591:29:031:31:311:24:25
20K2:07:591:59:222:02:231:53:23
25K2:39:582:30:482:33:582:24:09
30K3:11:583:03:213:06:122:57:16
35K3:43:583:37:383:39:283:33:29
40K4:15:574:12:504:13:194:11:56
Finish4:30:004:27:314:27:324:27:31
Finishes141,15587,48753,668

Finishes per minute around 4:30, and what a smooth curve expects

MinuteFinishesSmooth curve
4:2028,47228,692
4:2128,35628,439
4:2228,46828,189
4:2328,73127,944
4:2428,94327,702
4:2528,63927,466
4:2629,21227,233
4:2729,44127,006
4:2830,01926,783
4:2929,86926,565
4:3026,24526,353
4:3125,85826,145
4:3225,15025,941
4:3325,23625,740
4:3425,00525,540
4:3524,84425,340
4:3625,25525,139
4:3724,62324,935
4:3824,89524,728
4:3925,19624,516

How these were measured