Analysis 08 of 10 Plan your race

How does my target compare with the field?

A target means something different in every field. Put a time in context, with an earlier result if you have one.

Make the comparison yours

Start with an example

Hours:minutes. We count finishes strictly below this time.

Refine by age, gender or earlier performance

An earlier time selects a 15-minute band of recorded bests from earlier years.

What the data shows

42.2% of this historical comparison group finished below 4:00. Its median finish was 4:10:52.

This is a field comparison without an earlier-time restriction. It does not estimate your fitness or personal chance of success.

All courses · all ages · all recorded categories · all earlier-time bands. 3,328,159 finishes across 180 race editions.

Explore the comparison

Fraction finishing below each threshold

Percent (%)

Changing the target changes the threshold being counted, not the underlying performances.

View exact values and sample sizes
Finish-time thresholdBelow thresholdObservations
1:300%3,328,159
1:310%3,328,159
1:320%3,328,159
1:330%3,328,159
1:340%3,328,159
1:350%3,328,159
1:360%3,328,159
1:370%3,328,159
1:380%3,328,159
1:390%3,328,159
1:400%3,328,159
1:410%3,328,159
1:420%3,328,159
1:430%3,328,159
1:440%3,328,159
1:450%3,328,159
1:460%3,328,159
1:470%3,328,159
1:480%3,328,159
1:490%3,328,159
1:500%3,328,159
1:510%3,328,159
1:520%3,328,159
1:530%3,328,159
1:540%3,328,159
1:550%3,328,159
1:560%3,328,159
1:570%3,328,159
1:580%3,328,159
1:590%3,328,159
2:000%3,328,159
2:010%3,328,159
2:020%3,328,159
2:030%3,328,159
2:040%3,328,159
2:050%3,328,159
2:060%3,328,159
2:070%3,328,159
2:080%3,328,159
2:090%3,328,159
2:100%3,328,159
2:110%3,328,159
2:120%3,328,159
2:130.1%3,328,159
2:140.1%3,328,159
2:150.1%3,328,159
2:160.1%3,328,159
2:170.1%3,328,159
2:180.1%3,328,159
2:190.1%3,328,159
2:200.1%3,328,159
2:210.1%3,328,159
2:220.1%3,328,159
2:230.1%3,328,159
2:240.2%3,328,159
2:250.2%3,328,159
2:260.2%3,328,159
2:270.2%3,328,159
2:280.3%3,328,159
2:290.3%3,328,159
2:300.3%3,328,159
2:310.4%3,328,159
2:320.4%3,328,159
2:330.5%3,328,159
2:340.5%3,328,159
2:350.6%3,328,159
2:360.6%3,328,159
2:370.7%3,328,159
2:380.8%3,328,159
2:390.9%3,328,159
2:401%3,328,159
2:411%3,328,159
2:421.1%3,328,159
2:431.2%3,328,159
2:441.4%3,328,159
2:451.5%3,328,159
2:461.6%3,328,159
2:471.8%3,328,159
2:481.9%3,328,159
2:492.1%3,328,159
2:502.3%3,328,159
2:512.5%3,328,159
2:522.7%3,328,159
2:532.9%3,328,159
2:543.1%3,328,159
2:553.3%3,328,159
2:563.6%3,328,159
2:573.9%3,328,159
2:584.3%3,328,159
2:594.7%3,328,159
3:005.2%3,328,159
3:015.5%3,328,159
3:025.7%3,328,159
3:036%3,328,159
3:046.2%3,328,159
3:056.6%3,328,159
3:066.8%3,328,159
3:077.2%3,328,159
3:087.5%3,328,159
3:097.9%3,328,159
3:108.3%3,328,159
3:118.6%3,328,159
3:129%3,328,159
3:139.4%3,328,159
3:149.8%3,328,159
3:1510.3%3,328,159
3:1610.8%3,328,159
3:1711.2%3,328,159
3:1811.7%3,328,159
3:1912.2%3,328,159
3:2012.7%3,328,159
3:2113.1%3,328,159
3:2213.6%3,328,159
3:2314.1%3,328,159
3:2414.7%3,328,159
3:2515.2%3,328,159
3:2615.8%3,328,159
3:2716.5%3,328,159
3:2817.1%3,328,159
3:2917.9%3,328,159
3:3018.7%3,328,159
3:3119.3%3,328,159
3:3219.9%3,328,159
3:3320.5%3,328,159
3:3421.1%3,328,159
3:3521.8%3,328,159
3:3622.4%3,328,159
3:3723.1%3,328,159
3:3823.8%3,328,159
3:3924.5%3,328,159
3:4025.2%3,328,159
3:4125.9%3,328,159
3:4226.6%3,328,159
3:4327.3%3,328,159
3:4428.1%3,328,159
3:4528.9%3,328,159
3:4629.6%3,328,159
3:4730.4%3,328,159
3:4831.2%3,328,159
3:4932%3,328,159
3:5032.8%3,328,159
3:5133.6%3,328,159
3:5234.4%3,328,159
3:5335.3%3,328,159
3:5436.1%3,328,159
3:5537%3,328,159
3:5638%3,328,159
3:5739%3,328,159
3:5840%3,328,159
3:5941.1%3,328,159
4:0042.2%3,328,159
4:0143%3,328,159
4:0243.7%3,328,159
4:0344.4%3,328,159
4:0445.1%3,328,159
4:0545.8%3,328,159
4:0646.5%3,328,159
4:0747.2%3,328,159
4:0847.9%3,328,159
4:0948.6%3,328,159
4:1049.4%3,328,159
4:1150.1%3,328,159
4:1250.8%3,328,159
4:1351.6%3,328,159
4:1452.3%3,328,159
4:1553.1%3,328,159
4:1653.8%3,328,159
4:1754.5%3,328,159
4:1855.2%3,328,159
4:1955.9%3,328,159
4:2056.7%3,328,159
4:2157.4%3,328,159
4:2258.1%3,328,159
4:2358.7%3,328,159
4:2459.4%3,328,159
4:2560.1%3,328,159
4:2660.8%3,328,159
4:2761.6%3,328,159
4:2862.3%3,328,159
4:2963%3,328,159
4:3063.7%3,328,159
4:3164.4%3,328,159
4:3265%3,328,159
4:3365.6%3,328,159
4:3466.2%3,328,159
4:3566.8%3,328,159
4:3667.4%3,328,159
4:3768%3,328,159
4:3868.6%3,328,159
4:3969.2%3,328,159
4:4069.8%3,328,159
4:4170.4%3,328,159
4:4271%3,328,159
4:4371.5%3,328,159
4:4472.1%3,328,159
4:4572.7%3,328,159
4:4673.2%3,328,159
4:4773.8%3,328,159
4:4874.3%3,328,159
4:4974.8%3,328,159
4:5075.4%3,328,159
4:5175.9%3,328,159
4:5276.4%3,328,159
4:5376.9%3,328,159
4:5477.4%3,328,159
4:5577.9%3,328,159
4:5678.5%3,328,159
4:5779%3,328,159
4:5879.5%3,328,159
4:5980%3,328,159
5:0080.5%3,328,159
5:0180.9%3,328,159
5:0281.3%3,328,159
5:0381.6%3,328,159
5:0482%3,328,159
5:0582.4%3,328,159
5:0682.7%3,328,159
5:0783.1%3,328,159
5:0883.4%3,328,159
5:0983.8%3,328,159
5:1084.1%3,328,159
5:1184.4%3,328,159
5:1284.8%3,328,159
5:1385.1%3,328,159
5:1485.4%3,328,159
5:1585.8%3,328,159
5:1686.1%3,328,159
5:1786.4%3,328,159
5:1886.7%3,328,159
5:1987%3,328,159
5:2087.3%3,328,159
5:2187.6%3,328,159
5:2287.8%3,328,159
5:2388.1%3,328,159
5:2488.4%3,328,159
5:2588.7%3,328,159
5:2688.9%3,328,159
5:2789.2%3,328,159
5:2889.5%3,328,159
5:2989.7%3,328,159
5:3090%3,328,159
5:3190.2%3,328,159
5:3290.5%3,328,159
5:3390.7%3,328,159
5:3490.9%3,328,159
5:3591.2%3,328,159
5:3691.4%3,328,159
5:3791.6%3,328,159
5:3891.8%3,328,159
5:3992%3,328,159
5:4092.2%3,328,159
5:4192.4%3,328,159
5:4292.6%3,328,159
5:4392.8%3,328,159
5:4493%3,328,159
5:4593.2%3,328,159
5:4693.4%3,328,159
5:4793.5%3,328,159
5:4893.7%3,328,159
5:4993.9%3,328,159
5:5094.1%3,328,159
5:5194.2%3,328,159
5:5294.4%3,328,159
5:5394.6%3,328,159
5:5494.7%3,328,159
5:5594.9%3,328,159
5:5695%3,328,159
5:5795.2%3,328,159
5:5895.3%3,328,159
5:5995.5%3,328,159
6:0095.6%3,328,159
6:0195.7%3,328,159
6:0295.9%3,328,159
6:0396%3,328,159
6:0496.1%3,328,159
6:0596.2%3,328,159
6:0696.3%3,328,159
6:0796.4%3,328,159
6:0896.5%3,328,159
6:0996.6%3,328,159
6:1096.7%3,328,159
6:1196.8%3,328,159
6:1296.9%3,328,159
6:1397%3,328,159
6:1497.1%3,328,159
6:1597.2%3,328,159
6:1697.3%3,328,159
6:1797.3%3,328,159
6:1897.4%3,328,159
6:1997.5%3,328,159
6:2097.6%3,328,159
6:2197.7%3,328,159
6:2297.7%3,328,159
6:2397.8%3,328,159
6:2497.9%3,328,159
6:2597.9%3,328,159
6:2698%3,328,159
6:2798.1%3,328,159
6:2898.1%3,328,159
6:2998.2%3,328,159
6:3098.3%3,328,159
6:3198.3%3,328,159
6:3298.4%3,328,159
6:3398.4%3,328,159
6:3498.5%3,328,159
6:3598.5%3,328,159
6:3698.6%3,328,159
6:3798.6%3,328,159
6:3898.7%3,328,159
6:3998.7%3,328,159
6:4098.8%3,328,159
6:4198.8%3,328,159
6:4298.8%3,328,159
6:4398.9%3,328,159
6:4498.9%3,328,159
6:4599%3,328,159
6:4699%3,328,159
6:4799%3,328,159
6:4899.1%3,328,159
6:4999.1%3,328,159
6:5099.1%3,328,159
6:5199.2%3,328,159
6:5299.2%3,328,159
6:5399.2%3,328,159
6:5499.3%3,328,159
6:5599.3%3,328,159
6:5699.3%3,328,159
6:5799.3%3,328,159
6:5899.4%3,328,159
6:5999.4%3,328,159
7:0099.4%3,328,159
7:0199.4%3,328,159
7:0299.4%3,328,159
7:0399.5%3,328,159
7:0499.5%3,328,159
7:0599.5%3,328,159
7:0699.5%3,328,159
7:0799.5%3,328,159
7:0899.6%3,328,159
7:0999.6%3,328,159
7:1099.6%3,328,159
7:1199.6%3,328,159
7:1299.6%3,328,159
7:1399.6%3,328,159
7:1499.7%3,328,159
7:1599.7%3,328,159
7:1699.7%3,328,159
7:1799.7%3,328,159
7:1899.7%3,328,159
7:1999.7%3,328,159
7:2099.7%3,328,159
7:2199.7%3,328,159
7:2299.7%3,328,159
7:2399.8%3,328,159
7:2499.8%3,328,159
7:2599.8%3,328,159
7:2699.8%3,328,159
7:2799.8%3,328,159
7:2899.8%3,328,159
7:2999.8%3,328,159
7:3099.8%3,328,159
7:3199.8%3,328,159
7:3299.8%3,328,159
7:3399.8%3,328,159
7:3499.8%3,328,159
7:3599.8%3,328,159
7:3699.8%3,328,159
7:3799.9%3,328,159
7:3899.9%3,328,159
7:3999.9%3,328,159
7:4099.9%3,328,159
7:4199.9%3,328,159
7:4299.9%3,328,159
7:4399.9%3,328,159
7:4499.9%3,328,159
7:4599.9%3,328,159
7:4699.9%3,328,159
7:4799.9%3,328,159
7:4899.9%3,328,159
7:4999.9%3,328,159
7:5099.9%3,328,159
7:5199.9%3,328,159
7:5299.9%3,328,159
7:5399.9%3,328,159
7:5499.9%3,328,159
7:5599.9%3,328,159
7:5699.9%3,328,159
7:5799.9%3,328,159
7:5899.9%3,328,159
7:5999.9%3,328,159
8:0099.9%3,328,159
8:0199.9%3,328,159
8:0299.9%3,328,159
8:0399.9%3,328,159
8:0499.9%3,328,159
8:0599.9%3,328,159
8:0699.9%3,328,159
8:07100%3,328,159
8:08100%3,328,159
8:09100%3,328,159
8:10100%3,328,159
8:11100%3,328,159
8:12100%3,328,159
8:13100%3,328,159
8:14100%3,328,159
8:15100%3,328,159
8:16100%3,328,159
8:17100%3,328,159
8:18100%3,328,159
8:19100%3,328,159
8:20100%3,328,159
8:21100%3,328,159
8:22100%3,328,159
8:23100%3,328,159
8:24100%3,328,159
8:25100%3,328,159
8:26100%3,328,159
8:27100%3,328,159
8:28100%3,328,159
8:29100%3,328,159
8:30100%3,328,159
8:31100%3,328,159
8:32100%3,328,159
8:33100%3,328,159
8:34100%3,328,159
8:35100%3,328,159
8:36100%3,328,159
8:37100%3,328,159
8:38100%3,328,159
8:39100%3,328,159
8:40100%3,328,159
8:41100%3,328,159
8:42100%3,328,159
8:43100%3,328,159
8:44100%3,328,159
8:45100%3,328,159
8:46100%3,328,159
8:47100%3,328,159
8:48100%3,328,159
8:49100%3,328,159
8:50100%3,328,159
8:51100%3,328,159
8:52100%3,328,159
8:53100%3,328,159
8:54100%3,328,159
8:55100%3,328,159
8:56100%3,328,159
8:57100%3,328,159
8:58100%3,328,159
8:59100%3,328,159
9:00100%3,328,159
9:01100%3,328,159
9:02100%3,328,159
9:03100%3,328,159
9:04100%3,328,159
9:05100%3,328,159
9:06100%3,328,159
9:07100%3,328,159
9:08100%3,328,159
9:09100%3,328,159
9:10100%3,328,159
9:11100%3,328,159
9:12100%3,328,159
9:13100%3,328,159
9:14100%3,328,159
9:15100%3,328,159
9:16100%3,328,159
9:17100%3,328,159
9:18100%3,328,159
9:19100%3,328,159
9:20100%3,328,159
9:21100%3,328,159
9:22100%3,328,159
9:23100%3,328,159
9:24100%3,328,159
9:25100%3,328,159
9:26100%3,328,159
9:27100%3,328,159
9:28100%3,328,159
9:29100%3,328,159
9:30100%3,328,159
9:31100%3,328,159
9:32100%3,328,159
9:33100%3,328,159
9:34100%3,328,159
9:35100%3,328,159
9:36100%3,328,159
9:37100%3,328,159
9:38100%3,328,159
9:39100%3,328,159
9:40100%3,328,159
9:41100%3,328,159
9:42100%3,328,159
9:43100%3,328,159
9:44100%3,328,159
9:45100%3,328,159
9:46100%3,328,159
9:47100%3,328,159
9:48100%3,328,159
9:49100%3,328,159
9:50100%3,328,159
9:51100%3,328,159
9:52100%3,328,159
9:53100%3,328,159
9:54100%3,328,159
9:55100%3,328,159
9:56100%3,328,159
9:57100%3,328,159
9:58100%3,328,159
9:59100%3,328,159
10:00100%3,328,159
10:01100%3,328,159
10:02100%3,328,159
10:03100%3,328,159
10:04100%3,328,159
10:05100%3,328,159
10:06100%3,328,159
10:07100%3,328,159
10:08100%3,328,159
10:09100%3,328,159
10:10100%3,328,159
10:11100%3,328,159
10:12100%3,328,159
10:13100%3,328,159
10:14100%3,328,159
10:15100%3,328,159
10:16100%3,328,159
10:17100%3,328,159
10:18100%3,328,159
10:19100%3,328,159
10:20100%3,328,159
10:21100%3,328,159
10:22100%3,328,159
10:23100%3,328,159
10:24100%3,328,159
10:25100%3,328,159
10:26100%3,328,159
10:27100%3,328,159
10:28100%3,328,159
10:29100%3,328,159
10:30100%3,328,159
10:31100%3,328,159
10:32100%3,328,159
10:33100%3,328,159
10:34100%3,328,159
10:35100%3,328,159
10:36100%3,328,159
10:37100%3,328,159
10:38100%3,328,159
10:39100%3,328,159
10:40100%3,328,159
10:41100%3,328,159
10:42100%3,328,159
10:43100%3,328,159
10:44100%3,328,159
10:45100%3,328,159
10:46100%3,328,159
10:47100%3,328,159
10:48100%3,328,159
10:49100%3,328,159
10:50100%3,328,159
10:51100%3,328,159
10:52100%3,328,159
10:53100%3,328,159
10:54100%3,328,159
10:55100%3,328,159
10:56100%3,328,159
10:57100%3,328,159
10:58100%3,328,159
10:59100%3,328,159
11:00100%3,328,159
11:01100%3,328,159
11:02100%3,328,159
11:03100%3,328,159
11:04100%3,328,159
11:05100%3,328,159
11:06100%3,328,159
11:07100%3,328,159
11:08100%3,328,159
11:09100%3,328,159
11:10100%3,328,159
11:11100%3,328,159
11:12100%3,328,159
11:13100%3,328,159
11:14100%3,328,159
11:15100%3,328,159
11:16100%3,328,159
11:17100%3,328,159
11:18100%3,328,159
11:19100%3,328,159
11:20100%3,328,159
11:21100%3,328,159
11:22100%3,328,159
11:23100%3,328,159
11:24100%3,328,159
11:25100%3,328,159
11:26100%3,328,159
11:27100%3,328,159
11:28100%3,328,159
11:29100%3,328,159
11:30100%3,328,159
11:31100%3,328,159
11:32100%3,328,159
11:33100%3,328,159
11:34100%3,328,159
11:35100%3,328,159
11:36100%3,328,159
11:37100%3,328,159
11:38100%3,328,159
11:39100%3,328,159
11:40100%3,328,159
11:41100%3,328,159
11:42100%3,328,159
11:43100%3,328,159
11:44100%3,328,159
11:45100%3,328,159
11:46100%3,328,159
11:47100%3,328,159
11:48100%3,328,159
11:49100%3,328,159
11:50100%3,328,159
11:51100%3,328,159
11:52100%3,328,159
11:53100%3,328,159
11:54100%3,328,159
11:55100%3,328,159
11:56100%3,328,159
11:57100%3,328,159
11:58100%3,328,159
11:59100%3,328,159
12:00100%3,328,159

How to read this

The percentage counts finishes strictly below your selected time. The median is the point with half the results on either side.

Keep in mind

A place in the historical field does not measure your readiness. Training, health and race-day conditions are not recorded here.

How we calculated this

Evaluate the selected time against the historical finish-time distribution in the displayed cohort. Optional previous performance selects a 15-minute band of recent recorded bests. Each whole-minute threshold from 1:30 through 12:00 is calculated exactly using a strict less-than comparison. Without previous performance this describes the selected field, not individual readiness.

Runner comparison groups contain at least 100 eligible observations. Broader comparisons are labeled; a finish can belong to a runner with several races. Elevation describes the supplied course profile.

We check the raw timings and apply reviewed source-quality rules before forming these groups. Editions with known invalid split grids, incomplete ingestion, unresolved source checks or a selected field are excluded. Missing age or recorded gender alone does not remove an otherwise eligible finish from the overall comparison.

Input data: Marathon results, weather and course data. Read the full methods in source units or browse the marathons, years and data fields.