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No. 52 of 100Pacing

The later the finish, the bigger the fade

In 35–⁠40K, 5:00–⁠5:30 finishes ran a median 22% slower than their 5–⁠20K pace; 2:30–⁠3:00 finishes, 5%.

Median pace against 5–20K pace20–25K25–30K30–35K35–40KFinish time2:30–3:00+1%+1%+3%+5%3:00–3:30+1%+2%+5%+8%3:30–4:00+2%+4%+7%+11%4:00–4:30+3%+6%+12%+16%4:30–5:00+5%+10%+16%+19%5:00–5:30+9%+13%+20%+22%
Pace Notessplithappens.run/charts/52

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All numbers6 rows

The later the finish, the bigger the fade

Finish time20–25K25–30K30–35K35–40K
2:30–3:00+1%+1%+3%+5%
3:00–3:30+1%+2%+5%+8%
3:30–4:00+2%+4%+7%+11%
4:00–4:30+3%+6%+12%+16%
4:30–5:00+5%+10%+16%+19%
5:00–5:30+9%+13%+20%+22%

How these were measured